中國輕紡城市場營銷仍有回縮,價格指數微幅下跌
“中國·柯橋紡織(zhi)指數”20190603期紡織(zhi)品價(jia)格指數收(shou)報于105.99點,環比下跌(die)0.01%,較年初持平,同比上漲0.06%。
5月份中國輕紡(fang)城(cheng)成交情(qing)況(kuang)概述(shu)
據(ju)統計月(yue)(yue)報(bao)顯示:2019年5月(yue)(yue)份(fen)中國(guo)輕紡(fang)城紡(fang)織品市(shi)場(chang)成(cheng)交量(liang)為70580萬米,環(huan)比上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.86%,同(tong)(tong)比上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)11.09%;1-5月(yue)(yue)份(fen)累計總成(cheng)交量(liang)304679萬米,同(tong)(tong)比上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)15.98%。5月(yue)(yue)份(fen)中國(guo)輕紡(fang)城紡(fang)織品市(shi)場(chang)成(cheng)交額(e)(e)為1113260萬元,環(huan)比上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.25%,同(tong)(tong)比上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)10.10%;1—5月(yue)(yue)份(fen)累計總成(cheng)交額(e)(e)4823827萬元,同(tong)(tong)比上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)14.63%。
近期(qi),中國輕紡城市(shi)場(chang)營銷(xiao)仍有回縮(suo),其(qi)中:原料市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)下跌(die),坯布(bu)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)量小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)回縮(suo),服裝面料市(shi)場(chang)布(bu)匹價(jia)量小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)回升(sheng),家紡類產品成(cheng)交價(jia)量小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)上漲,輔(fu)料行(xing)情小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)回升(sheng)。
一、原料(liao)價格小幅下跌,滌綸(lun)環比下跌、純棉紗行情繼續偏弱
據監測,本期(qi)原(yuan)料價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)收(shou)報于84.26點(dian),環比(bi)下(xia)跌0.35%,較年(nian)初(chu)下(xia)跌0.82%,同(tong)比(bi)上漲0.18%。
1、聚(ju)酯原(yuan)料行情震蕩回縮(suo),滌綸行情仍有下跌
本期(qi)滌(di)綸(lun)原料價(jia)(jia)格(ge)指數環比下跌(die)。上游聚(ju)酯(zhi)原料行(xing)情震蕩回縮,近期(qi)華東地區(qu)PTA現貨主(zhu)流5625—5630元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun),MEG主(zhu)流4325—4328元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)左右,聚(ju)酯(zhi)切片市場報(bao)價(jia)(jia)局(ju)部(bu)繼續(xu)下跌(die),江浙(zhe)地區(qu)半(ban)光切片現金或三月(yue)承兌6625—6630元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)左右。蕭紹地區(qu)滌(di)綸(lun)市場繼續(xu)平淡,廠家報(bao)價(jia)(jia)仍有(you)下跌(die),行(xing)情繼續(xu)疲(pi)弱。滌(di)綸(lun)短(duan)纖價(jia)(jia)格(ge)環比下跌(die),江浙(zhe)1.4D×38MM直紡滌(di)綸(lun)短(duan)纖中(zhong)心價(jia)(jia)在(zai)7600元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun);當(dang)前終端(duan)紡織業表現依舊(jiu)疲(pi)軟,上游PTA的(de)弱勢也(ye)對(dui)其走勢形成了一定的(de)制約,又因滌(di)綸(lun)短(duan)纖企(qi)(qi)業目前仍有(you)一定庫存壓力,紡紗(sha)廠在(zai)自(zi)身庫存偏高背(bei)景下采購(gou)力度也(ye)相對(dui)有(you)限,下游依舊(jiu)謹慎觀望為主(zhu),實單成交未見明顯好(hao)轉。純(chun)滌(di)紗(sha)市場價(jia)(jia)格(ge)重心延續(xu)下跌(die)趨(qu)勢,行(xing)情疲(pi)乏,庫存明顯增加,盡管多(duo)數地區(qu)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)仍有(you)所下跌(die),但對(dui)訂(ding)單和庫存量(liang)緩解效果有(you)限,紡企(qi)(qi)多(duo)以(yi)剛需補(bu)庫為主(zhu),業內悲觀情緒較濃,江浙(zhe)地區(qu)32S純(chun)滌(di)紗(sha)主(zhu)流價(jia)(jia)12500元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun),50S純(chun)滌(di)紗(sha)主(zhu)流價(jia)(jia)16800元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)。
2、純棉紗行情繼續偏淡,人(ren)棉紗價格仍有(you)下跌
受中美貿(mao)易惡(e)化(hua)影響(xiang),上(shang)游原料大幅(fu)降價(jia)(jia)逐步(bu)向下(xia)游紗(sha)線傳導,近(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)紗(sha)線價(jia)(jia)格繼續(xu)下(xia)滑(hua),但(dan)(dan)各紗(sha)支(zhi)跌(die)幅(fu)不一(yi),報(bao)價(jia)(jia)相(xiang)對混亂。純棉(mian)(mian)紗(sha)穩中有(you)跌(die),高支(zhi)高配跌(die)幅(fu)較小,低支(zhi)紗(sha)跌(die)幅(fu)相(xiang)對較大。因訂單(dan)較少,企業(ye)庫存逐步(bu)上(shang)升,近(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)多數(shu)企業(ye)庫存較去(qu)年同期(qi)(qi)(qi)增20%以(yi)上(shang),個別企業(ye)庫存超過(guo)40天。近(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)蕭紹地區純棉(mian)(mian)紗(sha)市場氣氛繼續(xu)平淡,報(bao)價(jia)(jia)多顯疲軟,局部繼續(xu)下(xia)跌(die)。國內棉(mian)(mian)花價(jia)(jia)格跌(die)勢放緩(huan),但(dan)(dan)棉(mian)(mian)花價(jia)(jia)格下(xia)跌(die)幅(fu)度尚(shang)未完全傳導到下(xia)游,預計近(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)純棉(mian)(mian)紗(sha)價(jia)(jia)格或(huo)繼續(xu)穩中小跌(die)。
粘膠短(duan)纖行(xing)情以跌(die)為主,終端(duan)織造仍缺乏訂單,行(xing)業庫存壓(ya)力(li)持續居(ju)高不下(xia),粘膠短(duan)纖行(xing)情繼續看空(kong)。人棉紗(sha)價(jia)(jia)也有跟跌(die),且跌(die)勢(shi)難止,市場(chang)在買漲不買跌(die),加之終端(duan)出口(kou)格局尚(shang)待觀望,紗(sha)企出貨不暢,心態(tai)整體疲弱,紛(fen)紛(fen)下(xia)調(diao)價(jia)(jia)格吸(xi)引訂單。隨著純棉紗(sha)、滌紗(sha)價(jia)(jia)格的下(xia)跌(die),人棉紗(sha)難以獨善其身(shen),近期(qi)跌(die)幅或(huo)將(jiang)繼續擴大。
二、坯布(bu)行情環(huan)比回縮,價格指數小幅(fu)下跌(die)
據監測,本期坯布價格指數收報于119.49點,環比(bi)下跌0.42%,較年(nian)初上(shang)漲0.88%,同比(bi)上(shang)漲0.75%。
本期坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)類(lei)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)指數(shu)呈小幅下(xia)跌(die)(die)走勢。近期,夏季坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)行情局部回縮,訂單有(you)所(suo)下(xia)降,大眾(zhong)坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)成交(jiao)(jiao)環比(bi)小跌(die)(die),出貨(huo)速度減緩。其中:化學纖(xian)維坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)現貨(huo)成交(jiao)(jiao)和(he)訂單發(fa)貨(huo)環比(bi)回落,價(jia)(jia)格(ge)指數(shu)呈一定(ding)幅度下(xia)跌(die)(die)走勢,滌綸紗坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)、滌綸紡坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)、滌綸縐坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)、滌綸麻坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)、滌綸色(se)丁坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)成交(jiao)(jiao)價(jia)(jia)量環比(bi)回落;拉動坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)類(lei)總體價(jia)(jia)格(ge)指數(shu)小幅下(xia)跌(die)(die)。但混紡纖(xian)維坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)、天然纖(xian)維坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)行情小幅回升,相對(dui)制約了坯(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)布(bu)(bu)類(lei)總體價(jia)(jia)格(ge)指數(shu)的(de)下(xia)跌(die)(die)幅度。
三、服裝面料銷售環比推升,價格指數(shu)小幅上漲
據監測,本期服裝面料價(jia)格指數收報(bao)于116.89點(dian),環比上(shang)漲0.30%,較(jiao)年初上(shang)漲0.09%,同(tong)比下跌0.36%。
服裝面(mian)(mian)料(liao)類價格指數小幅(fu)上(shang)(shang)漲。近期,因下游需求局(ju)部推升,夏(xia)季(ji)(ji)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)成交(jiao)和訂(ding)單發(fa)貨(huo)(huo)局(ju)部增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加,秋季(ji)(ji)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)訂(ding)單發(fa)貨(huo)(huo)局(ju)部小增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)。其中:滌棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)、滌粘面(mian)(mian)料(liao)、滌錦面(mian)(mian)料(liao)、滌氨面(mian)(mian)料(liao)、錦棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)成交(jiao)價量不等量上(shang)(shang)漲。近期,輕(qing)紡(fang)城市場錦棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)上(shang)(shang)市量環比(bi)推升,成交(jiao)批次(ci)局(ju)部增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加,連日銷量呈環比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長走勢,夏(xia)季(ji)(ji)錦棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)成交(jiao)和訂(ding)單發(fa)貨(huo)(huo)環比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加,秋季(ji)(ji)錦棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)訂(ding)單發(fa)貨(huo)(huo)環比(bi)小增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng),新風格錦棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)成交(jiao)價量呈一定幅(fu)度(du)上(shang)(shang)漲走勢。
四(si)、家(jia)紡(fang)營銷環比回(hui)升(sheng),價(jia)格指數小幅上漲
據監(jian)測,本期家紡類價格(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)收(shou)報(bao)于101.87點,環比上(shang)漲0.23%,較年初下跌0.19%,同比上(shang)漲0.25%。
本期家紡類價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)。近期,輕紡城(cheng)家紡市場銷售環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)回升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),局(ju)部成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅增長。至目前(qian),輕紡城(cheng)家紡市場營(ying)銷局(ju)部回升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),創新色(se)澤花(hua)型面料訂單(dan)發送(song)量(liang)環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)回升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),兼(jian)具時尚(shang)元(yuan)素創意產品(pin)現貨成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)和訂單(dan)發貨環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),價(jia)格(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)。其中:床上(shang)用品(pin)成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)回升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數呈小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)走(zou)勢(shi)(shi);日用家紡類成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)回升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數呈小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)走(zou)勢(shi)(shi);窗簾類行情環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)推(tui)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數微幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang);窗紗類現貨成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)和訂單(dan)發貨環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)批(pi)量(liang)多品(pin)種(zhong)色(se)澤花(hua)型成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),中批(pi)量(liang)成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)局(ju)部小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),較大批(pi)量(liang)成交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)局(ju)部亦有小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅推(tui)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數呈微幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)走(zou)勢(shi)(shi);拉動家紡類總體價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)。
五、市(shi)場行情環比推升,輔料指(zhi)數小幅上漲
據監測,本期服(fu)飾輔(fu)料類價格指數收報于133.28點,環比上漲(zhang)0.54%,較年(nian)初上漲(zhang)0.60%,同(tong)比上漲(zhang)0.70%。
本期(qi)服飾輔料類價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)小幅上漲(zhang)(zhang)。近(jin)期(qi),輕(qing)紡(fang)城傳統市場(chang)服飾輔料行情(qing)環(huan)比(bi)推(tui)(tui)升,至目前下游企業備(bei)貨環(huan)比(bi)小增,現貨成交(jiao)和訂單(dan)發貨呈(cheng)現環(huan)比(bi)小升走(zou)勢(shi)。帶類行情(qing)明顯推(tui)(tui)升,價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)呈(cheng)一(yi)定(ding)(ding)幅度上漲(zhang)(zhang)走(zou)勢(shi);線繩類成交(jiao)明顯推(tui)(tui)升,價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)呈(cheng)一(yi)定(ding)(ding)幅度上漲(zhang)(zhang)走(zou)勢(shi);襯(chen)料類行情(qing)明顯推(tui)(tui)升,價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)呈(cheng)一(yi)定(ding)(ding)幅度上漲(zhang)(zhang)走(zou)勢(shi);拉(la)動輔料類總體價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)小幅上漲(zhang)(zhang)。
六、后(hou)市價格指(zhi)數預測(ce)
預計下期輕(qing)紡(fang)城整體行情(qing)將呈震蕩小跌走勢。因下游服(fu)裝(zhuang)生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)企業(ye)、家(jia)紡(fang)生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)企業(ye)輸美服(fu)裝(zhuang)訂單明顯減少,紡(fang)織(zhi)品市場(chang)(chang)觀望情(qing)緒較(jiao)濃;又因端午小長假,部(bu)分南北(bei)商賈將逐日返鄉(xiang)離場(chang)(chang),貿易商和織(zhi)造(zao)廠家(jia)大眾產(chan)(chan)品訂單有所下降,織(zhi)造(zao)企業(ye)開機(ji)率局部(bu)顯現(xian)不足,印染企業(ye)產(chan)(chan)出(chu)環比(bi)回縮,預計大眾跑量產(chan)(chan)品認購踴躍度將環比(bi)下降,整體市場(chang)(chang)成(cheng)交將呈現(xian)環比(bi)小跌走勢。